Weekly Energy Market Review – 17 November 2016

Weekly Energy Market Review – 17 November 2016

Annual gas and power prices have been trading sideways in the last week, holding below their early November multi-year highs, but still above their levels going into the winter.

Annual gas and power prices have been trading sideways in the last week, holding below their early November multi-year highs, but still above their levels going into the winter.

There remain concerns over the supply-demand balance for energy this winter. The UK went through the last cold snap with minimal difficulties and looks set to go into next weeks below-average temperatures in a similar state.

The gas system has been oversupplied for large parts of the last week, helped by an ease in demand. Consumption has started to rise towards the end of the week with the onset of the cooler temperatures. This has been more than offset by an increase in imports from the Continent. Near-term supply prospects have also been helped by an improvement in the LNG delivery schedule, with four tankers now booked for the month and another one possibly on-route.

Power supply margins have also improved from earlier in the month. While there has been a delay in some of the French nuclear plant returning to service, overall availability has improved enough to mitigate its need for UK imports. This, and a return to more seasonal normal weather conditions have helped to cut demand. However, the weather forecasts for next week are contributing to National Grid predicting a jump in demand of 2 to 3GW, which has been the scale of the supply margin recently. It is suggesting that tighter margins are possible in the near-term.

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Paul Anderson

Posted by on Thursday, the 17. November at 17.14

Paul Anderson joined Utilitywise in 2000 as a member of the Market Intelligence team. As a Senior Analyst, Paul is responsible for the production of bespoke strategic consultancy projects as well as developing analytical models. This has included a market-leading Triad forecasting model and a fully inclusive delivered energy pricing forecast tool. Paul has an Honours degree in Film and English from the University of Kent.